“Why is there no money left?”
Headlines in 2010
Foto:
Since I currently do not follow any English-speaking newspapers I must refer to the Wikipedia article about the financial crisis of 2007 to the present, which also includes a lot of information on the situation in the European Union and Greece. This whole page is not an exact translation of the German original, but uses different quotations and gives different recommendations for further reading.
Basic problem 1: Interest
Something must give when the mathematics of interest-bearing debt overwhelms the economy’s ability to pay. For awhile the growing debt burden may be met by selling off or forfeiting property to creditors, but an active public policy response is needed to save the economy’s land and natural resources, mines and public monopolies, physical capital and other productive assets from being lost to creditors.
From Michael Hudson’s Why the “Miracle of Compound Interest” leads to Financial Crises (2007)
| $100 “invested” (or owed) at different interest rates | ||||||
| 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 years | 110.46 | 121.90 | 134.39 | 162.89 | 196.72 | 259.37 |
| 20 years | 122.02 | 148.59 | 180.61 | 265.33 | 386.97 | 672.75 |
| 30 years | 134.78 | 181.14 | 242.73 | 432.19 | 761.23 | 1744.94 |
| 40 years | 148.89 | 220.80 | 326.20 | 704.00 | 1497.45 | 4525.93 |
| 50 years | 164.46 | 269.16 | 438.39 | 1146.74 | 2945.70 | 11739.09 |
| 60 years | 181.67 | 328.10 | 589.16 | 1867.92 | 5794.64 | 30448.16 |
| 70 years | 200.68 | 399.96 | 791.78 | 3042.64 | 11398.94 | 78974.70 |
| 80 years | 221.67 | 487.54 | 1064.09 | 4956.14 | 22423.44 | 204840.02 |
| 90 years | 244.86 | 594.31 | 1430.05 | 8073.04 | 44110.30 | 531302.26 |
| 100 years | 270.48 | 724.46 | 1921.86 | 13150.13 | 86771.63 | 1378061.23 |
| doubling in: | < 70 y | < 36 y | < 24 y | < 15 y | < 11 y | < 8 y |
What happens when you lend out (“invest”) a certain sum of money at a certain interest rate? The amount of money grows, just as “on the other side“ the dept - and that happens exponentially! Here are some examples that I created with a spreadsheed application: what happens with $100, when you lend them (out) for a specific time at a certain interest rate?
As you see $100, “invested” at a (up until recently) modest interest rate of 5%, would become more than $13,000 after 100 years. Calculating with an “annual rate of return” of 10%, like some investors and CEOs do, these $100 would have become $1.4 million! The doubling time, which is given in my table’s last row, is less than 8 years at an interest rate of 10%. If you know about binary numbers, like any mathematician or programmer would, you know the powers of two by heart, i.e. you know what repeated doubling means: times 2, times 4, times 8, times 16, times 32, times 64, times 128, times 256, times 512, times 1024 (after doubling 10 times), ... the growth “explodes“ and soon excesses any imaginable dimension.
Basic problem 2: Origin of the money / being forced into dept
The system of banking we have both equally and ever reprobated. I contemplate it as a blot left in all our constitutions, which if not covered, will end in their destruction, which is already hit by the gamblers in corruption, and is sweeping away in its progress the fortunes and morals of our citizens. [...] And I sincerely believe, with you, that banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies; and that the principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale.
Thomas Jefferson (1743-1826), Third President of the United States, in a letter on republican government to philosopher John Taylor.
The story The Earth Plus 5% written by the Australian Larry Hannigan in 1971, strikingly explains why money at first was good for most people, but in the course of time made more and more of them fall into poverty. Thus our current money became the culprit for the worst of crimes, especially the constant wars. Incidentally it does not matter whether you see evil forces at work, as the story suggests, or if you consider it an unfortunate automatism of the money produced so far: the interest system’s repercussions described in the story and currently witnessed by us are real.
When you click the link the the story you also get to hear the text, if your computer supports sound. If English is not your preferred language there is an extensive list of translations available (albeit without the audio version): Bulgarian, Catalan, Czech, Dansk, English, Español, Francais, German, Italian, Japanese, Latvian Malay, Indonesian, Polski, Portugues, Russian, Serbo-Croatian, Turkish, Urdu.
Solution?
Money requires the State, without a State money is not possible; indeed the foundation of the State may be said to date from the introduction of money.
Silvio Gesell in The Natural Economic Order (1920)
I chose this quote to show that the existing (i.e. produced by the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, or their respective counterparts) money needs not be accepted as “natural”. In fact it is just an agreement between men, which can be cancelled or modified.
This section will be extended as soon as I’m further with my research in this topic. In the meantime I appreciate suggestions and discussion, via e-mail or in person.
Currently I pin a lot of hope on a new money like the “Freigeld” Silvio Gesell describes it his book The Natural Economic Order. The full text of the book seems to be available online in English, French, German, Spanish, and Italian.
Links
- Bob Marley - Rat Race - “It’s a disgrace to see the human race in this rat race!”
- Life and Debt - A haunting documentary on what the policies of the IMF lead to.
